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not much
Replies: 9 — Last Post Sep. 6 11:14am by RIMHfire

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( Outer haven )


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Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
11:02 am on Sep. 6, 2008 | Joined Sep. 2008 | 57 Days Active
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sicktwist


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huh?

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Killtyronedead


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Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage.

Post edited at 11:05 am on Sep. 6, 2008 by Killtyronedead

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Natsy


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no i love goats lol xx

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jon davis rocks


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It is indeed.

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Et mon cul c'est du poulet.
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jon davis rocks


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Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage.

Not true.

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Et mon cul c'est du poulet.

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Killtyronedead


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Quote: from jon davis rocks at 2:09 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Edit: Wait. It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage.

Not true.


How so?

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"Promise that you won't fall for me."
What's that?  Didn't hear you.
Too late, too late, too late, too late
Guess what? I'm drunk
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shadowpool


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Yes it is.

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jon davis rocks


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Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:10 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Quote: from jon davis rocks at 2:09 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008
Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage.
 

 Not true.

 
How so?

When you pick a door, say #1, the chance of there being a car behind it is 1/3, yes? And the chances of it not being a car are 2/3.

The host is going to pick a door with a goat behind it regardless of what you pick. So that has no probability.  The door you have chosen still has 1/3 chance of being a car and now the other car has 2/3 chance of being a car. It's always best to switch your choice as you will win two thirds of the time.

Post edited at 11:15 am on Sep. 6, 2008 by jon davis rocks

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Et mon cul c'est du poulet.

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RIMHfire


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I hate these type of questions.
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